Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.182769 0.219533 0.259006 0.304245 0.354370 0.407934 0.469227
2025-02-16 0.127566 0.175435 0.231095 0.299366 0.379658 0.469984 0.578175
2025-02-23 0.088110 0.140033 0.205517 0.291153 0.397327 0.522028 0.676962
2025-03-02 0.056946 0.107220 0.176611 0.273531 0.399982 0.554505 0.752808
2025-03-09 0.040848 0.090614 0.165211 0.275378 0.425110 0.613738 0.861702
2025-03-16 0.026925 0.072912 0.148666 0.267364 0.435479 0.653624 0.946980
2025-03-23 0.020826 0.066559 0.147650 0.280315 0.473686 0.729669 1.079115
2025-03-30 0.014182 0.056445 0.138551 0.279784 0.492355 0.779937 1.178863
2025-04-06 0.009560 0.048430 0.131288 0.280753 0.512378 0.831832 1.281188
2025-04-13 0.006761 0.043407 0.128357 0.287897 0.541104 0.895742 1.400091
2025-04-20 0.004854 0.039723 0.127205 0.297502 0.573410 0.964919 1.526839
2025-04-27 0.003359 0.036200 0.125625 0.305944 0.603888 1.031871 1.651395
2025-05-04 0.001785 0.030338 0.117932 0.303255 0.617528 1.076187 1.747400
2025-05-11 0.001013 0.027040 0.115336 0.309362 0.644986 1.140665 1.871935
2025-05-18 0.000403 0.022624 0.108804 0.307341 0.659087 1.185947 1.970612
2025-05-25 0.000053 0.016830 0.096535 0.292667 0.651458 1.198873 2.024168
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.014633 0.093857 0.296703 0.674736 1.257586 2.142352
2025-06-08 NaN 0.011325 0.086233 0.289490 0.678357 1.286693 2.218883
2025-06-15 NaN 0.010911 0.088599 0.303848 0.719460 1.372909 2.377462
2025-06-22 NaN 0.009014 0.084595 0.303707 0.735092 1.420518 2.481333
2025-06-29 NaN 0.007514 0.081409 0.304973 0.753040 1.471767 2.590826
2025-07-06 NaN 0.006734 0.081037 0.312656 0.782562 1.541177 2.727120
2025-07-13 NaN 0.006224 0.081744 0.322876 0.816815 1.618251 2.875084